Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 304.848499 346.501674 393.330636 450.183528 517.746367 595.975841 694.145150
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 237.110089 288.959955 352.700661 437.960980 550.775004 697.486300 907.047257
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 209.634417 267.554685 343.176270 451.394018 606.130408 825.690573 1172.921795
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 186.828604 246.999907 329.298065 453.530799 642.716483 931.491833 1430.470378
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 166.322644 226.074418 310.874157 444.543571 658.999262 1007.294093 1657.752189
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 152.567699 212.629842 300.781233 445.403129 689.115918 1109.311152 1957.025870
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 138.671648 197.238566 285.595485 435.458507 698.725369 1176.699244 2209.469382
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 128.661448 186.560339 276.230491 433.281121 720.643542 1269.986001 2543.527005
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 116.269895 170.987238 257.381976 412.353893 704.759411 1286.311527 2711.220183
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 112.994392 169.476665 261.109959 431.152715 766.514466 1473.379861 3355.892093
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 111.053326 169.868025 267.917218 456.253705 845.087421 1716.545152 4258.766323
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 105.309211 163.399382 262.188468 456.856863 872.826067 1850.032194 4913.771342
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 97.732587 153.415549 249.664164 443.364008 869.309778 1910.688051 5386.807871
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 91.094827 144.592827 238.519863 431.439159 867.735352 1977.492935 5925.479782
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 88.478191 142.579653 239.617261 444.614889 926.772327 2224.274658 7292.058153
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 84.676452 138.140562 235.722617 446.711898 959.500109 2407.304089 8547.028096
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 79.919934 131.624498 227.280608 437.893540 963.202812 2504.662946 9501.284972
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 76.665403 127.637888 223.410474 438.736983 992.254070 2692.270638 11073.783397
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 72.534698 121.745476 215.292233 428.978350 991.123811 2779.965945 12202.352075
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 69.512119 117.752133 210.678455 426.841545 1010.907017 2948.430431 14000.665978
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 64.892709 110.449586 198.810442 406.301686 974.825549 2902.745236 14385.048648
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 64.316406 110.891685 202.934168 424.752756 1056.587857 3336.384186 18731.190668
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 64.247821 112.308272 209.208279 449.383426 1163.304230 3925.621734 25569.504894